What is the current probability for "Chet Holmgren: 1+ blocks"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 87¢ (87% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Chet Holmgren: 1+ blocks"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 397.9% and 15015.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Chet Holmgren: 1+ blocks"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Chet Holmgren: 1+ blocks

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Chet Holmgren: 1+ blocks. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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87¢mid

Bid/Ask 86/88¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-1

7-day price72 snapshots · 2 regime

88¢86¢ current

Apr 201¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Chet Holmgren records 1+ Blocks in the Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 397.9%

IY (No) 15015.7%

Adj IY 15016%

CRI 6

RV 7284%

VR 7.84

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	397.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	15015.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	15016%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	7284%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.84	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 3:08:58 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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