What is the current probability for "Chet Holmgren: 2+ blocks"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 56¢ (56% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Chet Holmgren: 2+ blocks"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2082.3% and 2869.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Chet Holmgren: 2+ blocks"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Chet Holmgren: 2+ blocks

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Chet Holmgren: 2+ blocks. This contract trades at 56¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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56¢mid

Bid/Ask 54/58¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-2

7-day price83 snapshots · 2 regime

56¢54¢ current

Apr 201¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Chet Holmgren records 2+ Blocks in the Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2082.3%

IY (No) 2869.5%

Adj IY 2870%

CRI 1

RV 5982%

VR 3.69

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2082.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2869.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2870%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	5982%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.69	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 3:08:59 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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