SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 31, 2026

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

0¢
$157K volume
$54K liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$5.0M

Best sibling

Abelardo de la Espriella 6¢

Ticker

0xa67adf5c…b656

Price history

0¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢32
0¢10
0¢21K
0¢22K
2¢10
100¢500
100¢10
100¢630

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

0xa67adf5c…b656

Event family

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5.0M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Iván Cepeda Castro 94¢

Current share

3%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Juan Daniel Oviedo

polymarket · 0xa67adf5ccd4fe39cf878102bc8407c77010e2fae22bd05cedf492892a33db656

0¢$157K$0

Abelardo de la Espriella

polymarket · 0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325

6¢$863K$14K0.2

Vicky Dávila

polymarket · 0x7c795144bf0351e82c85f844de81f29f482aaefc3b544eddeb8b7932887649e4

0¢$436K$0

Paloma Valencia

polymarket · 0x04e73caf81ef64ce0c612699049d295e18dfe9bdd60d898fd3d8a64cac723661

1¢$432K$9K

Iván Cepeda Castro

polymarket · 0xc00920db6f5e84821a61bd31578499bbc9bd125949572b589b7a9e4b0f13bad3

94¢$417K$6K0.0

Luis Gilberto Murillo

polymarket · 0xa5b21a5fba9c9da91f62cedca9d28747816a514050140708a2300cdecef87f78

0¢$298K$0

Mauricio Cárdenas

polymarket · 0x0d2496544913dd1efdc093d296e366b4de344adeecc45d84cb4ab26433f335d1

0¢$277K$7K

David Luna Sánchez

polymarket · 0x3baca5b0070978e7518ec4fbaf7ac79e30eb8adc48534e0004780fca2a59a2f2

0¢$254K$3K

Enrique Peñalosa

polymarket · 0x5037195eafd98f9d50ef8d5700abcaaa7351cc53bfdb1df23fd28fd35eb94e9b

0¢$247K$8K

Claudia López

polymarket · 0x33b9298257eac39553c008b882ac333d2538bd493689d6710d3986d890580033

0¢$238K$6K

Juan Manuel Galán

polymarket · 0x6b98b6acf1dbf405c189176529f77ff5356b2dc9c2a5f15012c0e2df3f561d2b

0¢$235K$0

Germán Vargas Lleras

polymarket · 0x2890121a9277d619b936695405544bda9f80d184b05d9503fd8f173c52867365

0¢$230K$7K

Gustavo Bolívar

polymarket · 0x49ed66968bfb4058a43bcf7bc664cb879e93a3e51bd10d844e3f8662febe9fd4

0¢$229K$0

Roy Barreras

polymarket · 0xeae8d09170bc56ee8ba9676b4a2f6d1a45c69084172ee7cc8a022197c2db191a

0¢$225K$7K

Daniel Quintero

polymarket · 0x7ce21332ecca3948da5ecf5e626b16938ba1487ce07d1579d869f25045002200

0¢$209K$9K

Sergio Fajardo

polymarket · 0x77b1512402d2b2590f65d22f4fb1d2ce29f3fd2d6516429928f430ddfc2215b3

0¢$207K$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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