Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market is essentially illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $72.8 in open interest, making the 45¢ price potentially unreliable despite the extreme 6,584% implied yield on the Yes side.

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55¢
Bid/Ask 54/56¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $867.374·OI $73,097.965·Closes Apr 23, 2026·1d remaining
0xcdecf9b175c8403168f462ee931e2877962fae58f6009500ce2ee583cf5d6b73
7-day price150 snapshots · 23 regime
57¢55¢ current
Apr 1341¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This market is essentially illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $72.8 in open interest, making the 45¢ price potentially unreliable despite the extreme 6,584% implied yield on the Yes side. The 60¢ spread is exceptionally wide relative to the small position size, and the realized volatility of 359% suggests highly erratic pricing rather than genuine market discovery. With just 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where the quoted price may not reflect true consensus odds for the April 23 match.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If Damac Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 49939.2%
IY (No) 74600.5%
Adj IY 13419%
CRI 1
RV 122%
VR 0.06
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)49939.2%
IY (No)74600.5%
Adj IY13419%
CRI1
RV122%
VR0.06
IAR0.5/h
Overround0.0%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:44:04 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xcdecf9b175c8403168f462ee931e2877962fae58f6009500ce2ee583cf5d6b73 yes 100

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