DC United at New York City: Totals

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook

Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Why a "DCF" of a Prediction Market Is Mathematically Incoherent

A binary prediction-market contract has one cash flow at one date. The DCF identity collapses into the implied yield equation. There is nothing to compute that IY does not already give you.

Fed Rate Cuts 2026: What $200M in Prediction Market Volume Is Telling Us

Fed rate prediction market analysis for 2026. Meeting-by-meeting probabilities, comparison with CME futures, cross-market signals, tail risk pricing, and historical accuracy.