Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of $195.33, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of $195.33, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 100,000% on the Yes side is mathematically consistent with the 4% probability but reflects the thin market rather than genuine edge, and the 2¢ spread represents 50% of the current price. With only 5 days to expiry and a narrow resolution band ($2,670-$2,709.99), this appears to be a tail-risk bet on Ethereum staying in a very specific range, though the zero volume suggests minimal conviction from traders.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2670-2709.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2690 yes 100