Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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23¢
Bid/Ask 7/39¢·Spread 32¢·Vol $0·OI $82.823·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x25ea45fb5a112391bf64f38056b84394f66cb47a06aa8208339822408fb0a315
7-day price118 snapshots · 10 regime
50¢23¢ current
Apr 1110¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.6%
IY (No) 44.5%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 3
RV 2642%
VR 15.80
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)498.6%
IY (No)44.5%
Adj IY0%
CRI3
RV2642%
VR15.80
IAR3.0/h
LAS1.39

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Computed
4/29/2026, 10:26:18 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 10:23:56 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x25ea45fb5a112391bf64f38056b84394f66cb47a06aa8208339822408fb0a315 yes 100

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