SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202692 days left

Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$34K volume
$11K liquidity
38% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$88K

Best sibling

Sandy Spidel Neumann 4¢

Ticker

0x23138fc0…28e8

Price history

12¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢401
8¢13
7¢10
5¢100
3¢184
AskSize
12¢193
14¢100
15¢100
16¢86
21¢121
47¢170
52¢250
56¢341

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0x23138fc0…28e8

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , +6¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2897.8%

IY (No)

53.9%

Adj IY

2656%

CRI

7

RV

3672%

VR

11.89

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2897.8%
53.9%
Adj IY
2656%
7
RV
3672%
VR
11.89
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
-0.6%
LAS
0.08

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