What is the current probability for "Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 50¢ (50% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 26, 2026. 5 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 28943.8% and 2045.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings Winner?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing April 26, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite a 74¢ spread and zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest), suggesting no actual trading activity.

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50¢mid

Bid/Ask 21/78¢·Spread 57¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 26, 2026·5d remaining

KXPSLGAME-26APR23KKILQA-KKI

7-day price243 snapshots · 2 regime

29¢21¢ current

Apr 161¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite a 74¢ spread and zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest), suggesting no actual trading activity. The astronomical implied yields (100,000% for Yes, 118.3% for No) are artifacts of the zero price floor rather than genuine opportunities, and the 4,430% realized volatility reflects pricing noise in an illiquid venue. With only 10 days to expiry and the match apparently already scheduled for April 23, this market appears either misconfigured or abandoned, making it unsuitable for real trading.

Resolution rules

If Karachi Kings wins the Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings professional men's PSL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 28943.8%

IY (No) 2045.2%

Adj IY 28944%

CRI 4

RV 7628%

VR 1.02

▶ Full indicator table (7)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	28943.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2045.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	28944%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	7628%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.02	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

57¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:12:25 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPSLGAME-26APR23KKILQA-KKI yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →