SimpleFunctions
PolymarketSep 1, 2026115 days left

Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?

This contract is priced at 41¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 79¢ spread.

Implied probability

41¢
$50 volume
$105 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

Stephen Lynch 51¢

Ticker

0x45a33381…ff69

Market snapshot

Patrick Roath in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?. The displayed quote is 41¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $50. In the MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Patrick Roath

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

41¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 1, 2026

Reported volume

$50

Family context

3 outcomes · MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

11¢-51¢

Family leader

Stephen Lynch 51¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0x45a333816073d1e67a304632653f7712e41e95acab6cba7beece6150d353ff69. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

41¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 26, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 80¢

Polymarket
79¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
AskSize
80¢40
84¢6
87¢56
88¢8
89¢5
90¢51
91¢87
92¢19

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

0x45a33381…ff69

Event family

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Stephen Lynch 51¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

518.6%

IY (No)

194.8%

Adj IY

519%

CRI

2

RV

4115%

VR

13.37

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

518.6%
194.8%
Adj IY
519%
2
RV
4115%
VR
13.37
IAR
6.5/h
Overround
0.0%

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