Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
This contract is priced at 34¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$16.9M
Best sibling
California Governor Election Winner: Tom Steyer 43¢
Ticker
0x2c00cb09…8c48
Price history
34¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
33 / 34¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
—
Identifier
0x2c00cb09…8c48
Event family
US Elections.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$16.9M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner: Choo Mi-ae 92¢
Current share
0%
Maine Senate Election Winner: Republican
polymarket · 0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48
California Governor Election Winner: Tom Steyer
polymarket · 0x8d62f20324e9e7f1a3c663ab6aac9a2f6e7adb96c6a69ac2cea7e08a71a7f2ef
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep
polymarket · 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: R Senate, D House
polymarket · 0x998bc71817b2d76921d1999ce0f3431cfd5945583667a371280ca2b430b0c06e
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Republicans Sweep
polymarket · 0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Other
polymarket · 0x7987a821b8032824f1805ee39eb5dfb8f64603e4e9e673259eb76f82b439fd3d
California Governor Election Winner: Steve Hilton
polymarket · 0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e
California Governor Election Winner: Kyle Langford
polymarket · 0x0a46731134b06c151d4f939bec58e07d784ed50ed214141286fd8bc9561608a3
California Governor Election Winner: Chad Bianco
polymarket · 0x1a5b898bbfa1e697c19afeef356d9c1a6ecb95d2493c31524d3c75f16f782c3e
California Governor Election Winner: Katie Porter
polymarket · 0x11375fe1cf6665bbdee0cba5c2d48be1dedafab87841bd2eb8bc778c0402f457
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R House
polymarket · 0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner: Choo Mi-ae
polymarket · 0xd07ad157463306284e16a0f897510948a1ff9904c4cbf0992e1421e62a079d38
54
polymarket · 0x38fa3007c7be18a217849262667e39266341cb2fd7b5f8da75472b0a9e420480
California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra
polymarket · 0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3
California Governor Election Winner: Alex Padilla
polymarket · 0x433587daba653f972f1bf49d41712ff02a0e73196c3a498a1e9d8e80c6587861
California Governor Election Winner: Rick Caruso
polymarket · 0x046941ddc09a5420aae85108b94bec3e1d7a3290b4144346cfc37e125282f958
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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