Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Mainz vs Bayern Munich: First Half Winner?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 46¢ (46% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 17 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Mainz vs Bayern Munich: First Half Winner?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2737.0% and 1689.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Mainz vs Bayern Munich: First Half Winner?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2737.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1689.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1368%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Mainz vs Bayern Munich: First Half Winner?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions