Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$23K
Best sibling
Donavan McKinney 36¢
Ticker
0x7ab50d37…f8cf
Market snapshot
Shelby Campbell in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $442. In the MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Shelby Campbell
Family rank
#3 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 4, 2026
Reported volume
$442
Family context
5 outcomes · MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-54¢
Family leader
Shri Thanedar 54¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0x7ab50d37b4e6bdf3003443e90e72c153e5ff7dfc7f3d3050421681c9a461f8cf. Family volume: $23K.
Price history
4¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 4, 2026
Identifier
0x7ab50d37…f8cf
Event family
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$23K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Shri Thanedar 54¢
Current share
2%
Shelby Campbell
polymarket · 0x7ab50d37b4e6bdf3003443e90e72c153e5ff7dfc7f3d3050421681c9a461f8cf
Donavan McKinney
polymarket · 0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3
Shri Thanedar
polymarket · 0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9
Anthony Carbonaro
polymarket · 0xfb3b8e9254d919bec8c6f1c1d12cca1e80876abee683774fd1a5e3131aee956f
Nazmul Hassan
polymarket · 0xe03235b712f8935c0fed7a81bc9f71f8ee8e5ae18e9e5f3f42b09cf7cea08420
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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