Michael Rotten Tomatoes score?
Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Michael Rotten Tomatoes score?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026. The market has experienced dramatic price appreciation over seven days (8¢ to 97¢), reflecting either new information about Michael's critical reception or significant money flowing into the Yes side, though the modest $321 24-hour volume suggests limited liquidity for such a concentrated position.
Analysis
The market has experienced dramatic price appreciation over seven days (8¢ to 97¢), reflecting either new information about Michael's critical reception or significant money flowing into the Yes side, though the modest $321 24-hour volume suggests limited liquidity for such a concentrated position. The extreme 44,539.7% implied yield on the No side and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 10 indicate this is pricing in an extremely high probability outcome with minimal margin for error—a single negative review or score adjustment could trigger sharp repricing with only 8 days to expiration. The 6¢ spread is relatively wide given the price level, potentially reflecting uncertainty among market makers about whether the 35 Tomatometer threshold will hold through resolution.
Resolution rules
If Michael has a Tomatometer score of above 35 on Apr 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXRT-MIC-35 yes 100