What is the current probability for "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 84¢ (84% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 535.9% and 11120.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

██████████████████████████████████░░░░░░

84¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/86¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 13, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR28ATLNYK-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2

7-day price18 snapshots · 2 regime

83¢82¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Nickeil Alexander-Walker records 2+ Rebounds in the Atlanta at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 535.9%

IY (No) 11120.8%

Adj IY 10714%

CRI 5

RV 54151%

VR 8.26

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	535.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11120.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10714%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	54151%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.26	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.04	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 1:17:34 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:08:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR28ATLNYK-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →