What is the current probability for "Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 23¢ (23% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 10689.4% and 588.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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23¢

Bid/Ask 19/22¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $80.81·OI $80.81·Closes May 13, 2026·15d remaining

KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29PLASFE-SFE

7-day price95 snapshots · 5 regime

19¢19¢ current

Apr 2614¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Independ. Santa Fe wins the Platense vs Independ. Santa Fe professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10689.4%

IY (No) 588.2%

Adj IY 9002%

CRI 4

RV 791%

VR 0.61

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	10689.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	588.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9002%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	791%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.61	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.16	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/29/2026, 8:42:35 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:38:27 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29PLASFE-SFE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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