Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$412.1M
Best sibling
LeBron James 1¢
Ticker
0x4567b275…7e57
Price history
17¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 17¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
0x4567b275…7e57
Event family
Presidential Election Winner 2028.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$412.1M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
JD Vance 21¢
Current share
4%
Gavin Newsom
polymarket · 0x4567b275e6b667a6217f5cb4f06a797d3a1eaf1d0281fb5bc8c75e2046ae7e57
LeBron James
polymarket · 0x836b850fc838195374862551a36f1c8691d96ff01e58b0a071f0fc1a0e357fb1
Tim Walz
polymarket · 0xae70ab9bf1c3726fe430a2ba8b517697ae24e0f0ab554b876a5b521153068882
Kim Kardashian
polymarket · 0x7f695758278e6d4d9e63df862afa88d664d3402a3d26e4d32ae05121cdbddba6
Greg Abbott
polymarket · 0x01dffa7abae7e5d9b7fb44b06d537c5ac932e2ca422ab4b53366672f5e2dc7d6
Vivek Ramaswamy
polymarket · 0x64396449b471b10b006285fa49dd9a5df535694de7b4c703fdeb0d88d5c4cd33
Stephen Smith
polymarket · 0x66b906b8205f48a26beb8e553bbb1e7954e87e4f6e1d539823441221d1806e8f
Tulsi Gabbard
polymarket · 0x8fc141205ebce5adf437bfdf4d0c5ff58ff24293b79c9431991346c208bb48ed
Glenn Youngkin
polymarket · 0xc4435df23facee8c4cd86090310c7835c2a0425646b2588b0a02e67fa42f444e
Nikki Haley
polymarket · 0xe0173375b7eaccb836f7b92d28a9a2d1cc69e54e5a65fae89a5d7e49aadd332e
Elon Musk
polymarket · 0x68e3c4e0dd8f82d010060032006fd157401b0bd8e04bd2953ae293e31eb99bf6
Zohran Mamdani
polymarket · 0xf05b4b55336a4c1c7b44c726911d2b559732cff7bad339084de86ae364dc85f6
Andy Beshear
polymarket · 0x09ad4955c170d46c6d80b5f554435b19e229ff7dbe55370892b64782336cc3b9
Michelle Obama
polymarket · 0xbbbece074c2d4010e39e39c85ed67b1131180fcea616073c893fb6beaf51d783
JD Vance
polymarket · 0x7ad403c3508f8e3912940fd1a913f227591145ca0614074208e0b962d5fcc422
Donald Trump Jr.
polymarket · 0x23481b811978194fa175143ed7cd8d0000878ca59c408fd552e33535f7aa771e
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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