Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?

This market shows extreme distress signals with the Yes price collapsing 59% over seven days (from 46¢ to 19¢) while maintaining virtually zero volume, suggesting the sharp decline reflects information arrival rather than active trading. The astronomical 22,964% implied yield on the Yes side combined with a 6¢ spread and $1.15M open interest indicates significant trapped liquidity, likely from positions entered at much higher prices before Austin FC's recent poor form or injury news. With only seven days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this market poses substantial execution risk for holders seeking to exit positions.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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