Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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72¢
Bid/Ask 71/73¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $3,162.219·OI $15,181.746·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x3dbeee81527f6d4868a6e500fca15d8905a6dda0e9b1f525145a4ad813bac98e
7-day price162 snapshots · 99 regime
85¢72¢ current
Apr 834¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 205.4%
IY (No) 1358.3%
Adj IY 660%
CRI 3
Overround 2.6%
LAS 0.03
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)205.4%
IY (No)1358.3%
Adj IY660%
CRI3
Overround2.6%
LAS0.03

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:53:13 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3dbeee81527f6d4868a6e500fca15d8905a6dda0e9b1f525145a4ad813bac98e yes 100

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