SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027243 days left

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$387K volume
$11K liquidity
28% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$1.4M

Best sibling

$800M 19¢

Ticker

0x31f521ff…bff5

Price history

16¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 18¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
13¢30
12¢179
11¢187
10¢200
9¢1.0K
8¢10K
7¢86
6¢5.2K
AskSize
18¢11
19¢30
20¢90
21¢63
22¢90
24¢100
25¢28
26¢1.5K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x31f521ff…bff5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

789.8%

IY (No)

28.7%

Adj IY

494%

CRI

5

RV

512%

VR

1.88

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

789.8%
28.7%
Adj IY
494%
5
RV
512%
VR
1.88
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
0.7%
LAS
0.38

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