SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027243 days left

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 78¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 76¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

78¢
$22K volume
$9K liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$1.4M

Best sibling

$1B 16¢

Ticker

0x45a913e9…fe33

Price history

78¢ current

+43¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 79¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
76¢1.0K
75¢40
74¢65
73¢100
72¢414
71¢200
70¢17
62¢14
AskSize
79¢370
80¢486
82¢35
85¢180
86¢64
87¢2.2K
88¢3.0K
91¢20

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x45a913e9…fe33

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

42.4%

IY (No)

533.4%

Adj IY

267%

CRI

4

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

42.4%
533.4%
Adj IY
267%
4
Overround
0.7%

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