SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027243 days left

StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$176K volume
$8K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$1.4M

Best sibling

$1B 16¢

Ticker

0xf411b549…2146

Price history

4¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 5¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
3¢423
3¢131
3¢49
2¢63
2¢6
2¢220
2¢248
2¢121
AskSize
5¢96
5¢42
5¢15
6¢108
7¢23
7¢89
8¢54
10¢33

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xf411b549…2146

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3610.4%

IY (No)

6.3%

Adj IY

903%

CRI

24

Overround

0.7%

LAS

0.50

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

3610.4%
6.3%
Adj IY
903%
24
Overround
0.7%
LAS
0.50

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