Top Coding AI this month?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Top Coding AI this month?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026. This market is essentially illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market is essentially illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 51000% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine opportunity, while the 3¢ spread and high Cliff Risk Index (19) suggest significant uncertainty near the April 30 expiration just 14 days away. The neutral regime and massive yield differential between Yes (51000%) and No (141%) indicate this is a thin, speculative position unlikely to attract serious capital.
Resolution rules
If MiniMax is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Apr 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTECHRANKLISTAICODE-26APR30-MINI yes 100