Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$88K
Best sibling
0.6–0.9M 18¢
Ticker
0x65f35450…298b
Market snapshot
<0.6M in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $954. In the Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff family, this outcome ranks #5 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
<0.6M
Family rank
#5 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
5¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 26, 2026
Reported volume
$954
Family context
9 outcomes · Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Quote range
1¢-38¢
Family leader
1.2–1.5M 38¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Venue identifier: 0x65f35450a40e5287326f11ef99fbb637b0bf917ad3a597b0f68784c852bb298b. Family volume: $88K.
Price history
5¢ current
−9¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 26, 2026
Identifier
0x65f35450…298b
Event family
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$88K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
1.2–1.5M 38¢
Current share
1%
<0.6M
polymarket · 0x65f35450a40e5287326f11ef99fbb637b0bf917ad3a597b0f68784c852bb298b
0.6–0.9M
polymarket · 0xadc9b1bd43e7d833bba87f84459c569c3d32e5f8b64ccfaecd1a3f76794955d0
1.2–1.5M
polymarket · 0x19e84fccf0c3ec2b32b572e6bfd8fa7f916244ddf22e8379cba90a9c4a74e6e3
2.4–2.7M
polymarket · 0xf69a365630f927fd33e2697f5693645e132fde647e249b8151145b00a20835af
2.1–2.4M
polymarket · 0xb366262be9e6301e6ebb2c0737a8394026266dfa443db9ed0efa3149cf5cb9c9
1.8–2.1M
polymarket · 0x6c9bb16c033c26dbad8d598874e8913209500b8299d14f9441d51453d4a4f0ee
2.7M+
polymarket · 0x187f60338cfdf92eb5c822cdbcfd01794ad4f3e66b97481da3ce5c9de51bb52d
0.9–1.2M
polymarket · 0xd9a6f07cc3b49337767c4120c61f79432e78852d914bf2a3fd1fa1b45993a567
1.5–1.8M
polymarket · 0xe140cf821ab6959e8de268ff9f8c5c9b1dc651dcba892543dbbfe766c2ecc2ee
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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