Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

Michael Olise is priced at an extremely aggressive 67¢ despite minimal liquidity ($181 open interest, $25 daily volume) and a massive 27¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting thin market conditions and potential overconfidence in his assist prospects. The price has surged 81% over seven days (36¢ to 65¢) while realized volatility sits at 594%, indicating extreme uncertainty that contradicts the high implied probability—the "No" side offers a risk-adjusted yield of 1441%, signaling substantial mispricings. With only 43 days until expiry and the 2025-26 Champions League season still in progress, this market faces significant cliff risk and appears vulnerable to sharp repricing as the tournament concludes and actual assist leaders become clearer.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade