Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Polymarket, closing May 12, 2026.

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31¢
Bid/Ask 29/33¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $674.1·OI $15,202.638·Closes May 12, 2026·20d remaining
0xa6f46ee9c2ff6977b5a578d8850f95b2f1644dc4874f475022a25bc3a491ca79
7-day price308 snapshots · 37 regime
48¢32¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 30¢+1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.87IY 221.1%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3945.0%
IY (No) 873.6%
Adj IY 3575%
CRI 2
RV 462%
VR 0.80
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3945.0%
IY (No)873.6%
Adj IY3575%
CRI2
RV462%
VR0.80
IAR2.1/h
LAS0.09

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:23:34 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa6f46ee9c2ff6977b5a578d8850f95b2f1644dc4874f475022a25bc3a491ca79 yes 100

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