↓ 50 · What price will Solana hit in 2026
↓ 50 is priced at 57¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 46¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside What price will Solana hit in 2026?.
Price history
57¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 50
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
↓ 60 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$848K
Identifier
0xfe1c00ef...927d
Jun 16, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
22¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · What price will Solana hit in 2026?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$848K
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0xfe1c00ef…927d
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
What price will Solana hit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$848K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↓ 60 68¢
Current share
1%
↓ 60
polymarket · 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e
↓ 50
polymarket · 0xfe1c00ef5583143875abb67bef9254a7e1a2afeb48ff83926c3c61ff947a927d
↓ 40
polymarket · 0x5c2f3ac4fe84f1a399f9f1e05de8e5cf1a5e80e2de32e92c084253972a3e7e67
↓ 30
polymarket · 0x010ed9daa2217b604af9c967c865929f03fe990c1aba0b6d682ee1734677ac14
↑ 160
polymarket · 0x715479b7c428c778fba2e26bbf30e0c06c9e878acdcf1be461be736ef0f554a3
↓ 20
polymarket · 0x0bccf8ce01fcd188575a96ab88ed928260e72cc4c3aacf0e82fa5ab4570dbae6
↑ 180
polymarket · 0x88ceaf60937fbe7162bf8b763ac311a96e6d871ecc7f68495cc8cda3adefa52e
↑ 200
polymarket · 0x53351e50bb5281f05a6e193aa9ccf79b041ae6386c8a66d2b6934817cfbd6c1f
↑ 220
polymarket · 0x7b24842f374b36510468c724cbea586384fe621b6547a40d3dad77f1ac3ac4cb
↑ 240
polymarket · 0x19ecee81e16eda5912046379f31ed8f3b75ca55955a014d579813a4a4770cd89
↑ 260
polymarket · 0x5a353d8c813b4d64760281674d63d1232080fd895c9ffe6b23fab2aec55ebdee
↑ 320
polymarket · 0xef2804b2532879f71de2e3854337735e7efc61f7e7e8b403891ad29dc59de92c
↑ 300
polymarket · 0xd4f01de9b51a47bcf5594cfe7ee2b135b8195e574f875081f4f0fba1e8dfe5e2
↑ 280
polymarket · 0x5c1d1a216a212d9a99177c940685192888473c890fa704427321bcd02a869ab8
↑ 400
polymarket · 0xa54d855c4c25e2e48687c90efc4bfd49c50dbedd2be984d29784a47b2ff81bdc
↑ 600
polymarket · 0x488999d62b8760a76d4e00e784f354a3bd03947c36073562ce65c0f3864185b3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.