↓ 20 · What price will Solana hit in 2026
↓ 20 is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside What price will Solana hit in 2026?.
Price history
12¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 20
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
↓ 60 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$848K
Identifier
0x0bccf8ce...bae6
Jun 16, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$12K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · What price will Solana hit in 2026?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$848K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x0bccf8ce…bae6
Event family
What price will Solana hit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$848K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↓ 60 68¢
Current share
17%
↓ 60
polymarket · 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e
↓ 50
polymarket · 0xfe1c00ef5583143875abb67bef9254a7e1a2afeb48ff83926c3c61ff947a927d
↓ 40
polymarket · 0x5c2f3ac4fe84f1a399f9f1e05de8e5cf1a5e80e2de32e92c084253972a3e7e67
↓ 30
polymarket · 0x010ed9daa2217b604af9c967c865929f03fe990c1aba0b6d682ee1734677ac14
↑ 160
polymarket · 0x715479b7c428c778fba2e26bbf30e0c06c9e878acdcf1be461be736ef0f554a3
↓ 20
polymarket · 0x0bccf8ce01fcd188575a96ab88ed928260e72cc4c3aacf0e82fa5ab4570dbae6
↑ 180
polymarket · 0x88ceaf60937fbe7162bf8b763ac311a96e6d871ecc7f68495cc8cda3adefa52e
↑ 200
polymarket · 0x53351e50bb5281f05a6e193aa9ccf79b041ae6386c8a66d2b6934817cfbd6c1f
↑ 220
polymarket · 0x7b24842f374b36510468c724cbea586384fe621b6547a40d3dad77f1ac3ac4cb
↑ 240
polymarket · 0x19ecee81e16eda5912046379f31ed8f3b75ca55955a014d579813a4a4770cd89
↑ 260
polymarket · 0x5a353d8c813b4d64760281674d63d1232080fd895c9ffe6b23fab2aec55ebdee
↑ 320
polymarket · 0xef2804b2532879f71de2e3854337735e7efc61f7e7e8b403891ad29dc59de92c
↑ 300
polymarket · 0xd4f01de9b51a47bcf5594cfe7ee2b135b8195e574f875081f4f0fba1e8dfe5e2
↑ 280
polymarket · 0x5c1d1a216a212d9a99177c940685192888473c890fa704427321bcd02a869ab8
↑ 400
polymarket · 0xa54d855c4c25e2e48687c90efc4bfd49c50dbedd2be984d29784a47b2ff81bdc
↑ 600
polymarket · 0x488999d62b8760a76d4e00e784f354a3bd03947c36073562ce65c0f3864185b3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.