SimpleFunctions

↓ 60 · What price will Solana hit in 2026

↓ 60 is priced at 68¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 65¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside What price will Solana hit in 2026?.

Price history

68¢ current

+5¢
50¢75¢100¢
May 17, 2026Jun 16, 2026

Contract brief

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Outcome

↓ 60

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

↓ 60 68¢

Range

1¢-68¢

Family volume

$849K

Identifier

0x0135f2ed...c27e

Jun 16, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

68¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 16, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

65¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

24h volume

$15K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$849K

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 70¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
65¢800
65¢19
65¢36
63¢55
62¢250
61¢270
61¢500
59¢110
AskSize
70¢6
70¢17
74¢93
74¢45
74¢5
75¢399
76¢249
77¢224

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x0135f2ed…c27e

SF Signal
SF Index
350.40
Regime
neutral

Event family

What price will Solana hit in 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$849K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↓ 60 68¢

Current share

17%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓ 60

polymarket · 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e

68¢
$147K$15K0.1

↓ 50

polymarket · 0xfe1c00ef5583143875abb67bef9254a7e1a2afeb48ff83926c3c61ff947a927d

62¢
$10K$1K

↓ 40

polymarket · 0x5c2f3ac4fe84f1a399f9f1e05de8e5cf1a5e80e2de32e92c084253972a3e7e67

39¢
$98K$219

↓ 30

polymarket · 0x010ed9daa2217b604af9c967c865929f03fe990c1aba0b6d682ee1734677ac14

23¢
$433$253

↑ 160

polymarket · 0x715479b7c428c778fba2e26bbf30e0c06c9e878acdcf1be461be736ef0f554a3

21¢
$57K$2K

↓ 20

polymarket · 0x0bccf8ce01fcd188575a96ab88ed928260e72cc4c3aacf0e82fa5ab4570dbae6

12¢
$144K$11K0.2

↑ 180

polymarket · 0x88ceaf60937fbe7162bf8b763ac311a96e6d871ecc7f68495cc8cda3adefa52e

12¢
$37K$200

↑ 200

polymarket · 0x53351e50bb5281f05a6e193aa9ccf79b041ae6386c8a66d2b6934817cfbd6c1f

9¢
$27K$0

↑ 220

polymarket · 0x7b24842f374b36510468c724cbea586384fe621b6547a40d3dad77f1ac3ac4cb

7¢
$20K$0

↑ 260

polymarket · 0x5a353d8c813b4d64760281674d63d1232080fd895c9ffe6b23fab2aec55ebdee

7¢
$16K$6010.7

↑ 240

polymarket · 0x19ecee81e16eda5912046379f31ed8f3b75ca55955a014d579813a4a4770cd89

6¢
$42K$0

↑ 320

polymarket · 0xef2804b2532879f71de2e3854337735e7efc61f7e7e8b403891ad29dc59de92c

5¢
$91K$0

↑ 300

polymarket · 0xd4f01de9b51a47bcf5594cfe7ee2b135b8195e574f875081f4f0fba1e8dfe5e2

5¢
$23K$00.4

↑ 280

polymarket · 0x5c1d1a216a212d9a99177c940685192888473c890fa704427321bcd02a869ab8

5¢
$18K$1

↑ 400

polymarket · 0xa54d855c4c25e2e48687c90efc4bfd49c50dbedd2be984d29784a47b2ff81bdc

2¢
$50K$150

↑ 600

polymarket · 0x488999d62b8760a76d4e00e784f354a3bd03947c36073562ce65c0f3864185b3

1¢
$69K$1K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

86.5%

IY (No)

390.6%

Adj IY

350%

CRI

2

RV

227%

VR

2.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

86.5%
390.6%
Adj IY
350%
2
RV
227%
VR
2.44
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.10

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.