What will be Auston Matthews's next team?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that What will be Auston Matthews's next team?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $4.73, making the 746% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.

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20¢
Bid/Ask 0/19¢·Spread 19¢·Vol $0·OI $4.73·Closes Nov 1, 2026·193d remaining
KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26AMAT-UTA

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $4.73, making the 746% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 20¢ price reflects a 20% probability that Matthews joins Utah specifically by November 2026, though the wide 20¢ spread and neutral regime suggest low conviction among traders. With 196 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this appears to be a niche contract with insufficient depth for meaningful position-taking.

Resolution rules

If Auston Matthews's next team is the Utah Mammoth before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 756.7%
IY (No) 47.3%
Adj IY 19%
CRI 4
Overround 1.5%
LAS 0.95
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)756.7%
IY (No)47.3%
Adj IY19%
CRI4
Overround1.5%
LAS0.95

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
19¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:43:13 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26AMAT-UTA yes 100

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