What will be the series outcome in the Minnesota vs Denver 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that What will be the series outcome in the Minnesota vs Denver 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market is pricing an extremely specific outcome—Minnesota winning exactly 4-1—at just 6¢, which generates an extraordinary 39,428% implied yield on a Yes position, though the 3¢ spread and minimal 7-day price stability (flat at 3¢) suggest thin liquidity with only $1,281 open interest.
Analysis
This market is pricing an extremely specific outcome—Minnesota winning exactly 4-1—at just 6¢, which generates an extraordinary 39,428% implied yield on a Yes position, though the 3¢ spread and minimal 7-day price stability (flat at 3¢) suggest thin liquidity with only $1,281 open interest. The 30-day expiry and neutral regime score provide adequate time for resolution, but the cliff risk index of 32 indicates meaningful tail risk, likely reflecting the low probability of this precise series result occurring versus the broader likelihood of either team winning the series in any format.
Resolution rules
If the series score is Minnesota wins 4-1 in the Minnesota vs Denver 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINDENR1-MIN41 yes 100