SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 2026

What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

2¢
$20K volume
$20K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$162K

Best sibling

Event does not qualify 1¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CRYP

Market snapshot

Crypto / Bitcoin in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $15K. In the What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University family, this outcome ranks #15 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC.

Outcome

Crypto / Bitcoin

Family rank

#15 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2026

24h volume

$15K

Family context

16 outcomes · What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University

Quote range

1¢-85¢

Family leader

NFL 85¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CRYP. Family volume: $162K.

Price history

2¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 2¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢479
AskSize
2¢19K
3¢13K
4¢6.0K
5¢6.0K
6¢973

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump says Crypto / Bitcoin as part of THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CRYP

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.