What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?
This contract is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$162K
Best sibling
Event does not qualify 1¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-BALL
Market snapshot
Ballroom in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?. The displayed quote is 44¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $6K. In the What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Ballroom
Family rank
#9 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
44¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 26, 2026
24h volume
$6K
Family context
16 outcomes · What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University
Quote range
1¢-85¢
Family leader
NFL 85¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-BALL. Family volume: $162K.
Price history
44¢ current
−19¢Orderbook snapshot
40 / 43¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump says Ballroom as part of THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University , then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 26, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-BALL
Event family
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$162K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
NFL 85¢
Current share
3%
Ballroom
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-BALL
Event does not qualify
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-NQE
Heisman
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-HEIS
McDonald / McDonald's
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-MCDO
Oval Office
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-OVAL
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CRYP
Iran / Iranian
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-IRAN
Draft / Drafted
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-DRAF
Transgender
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-TRAN
Landslide
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-LAND
Cuba / Cuban
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CUBA
NFL
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-NFL
Executive Order
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-EXEC
Saban
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-SABA
World Cup
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-WORL
Election
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-ELEC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 44% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.