What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?
This contract is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$138K
Best sibling
Event does not qualify 1¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-IRAN
Market snapshot
Iran / Iranian in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University?. The displayed quote is 38¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7K. In the What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Iran / Iranian
Family rank
#10 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
38¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 26, 2026
24h volume
$7K
Family context
16 outcomes · What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University
Quote range
1¢-70¢
Family leader
Draft / Drafted 70¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-IRAN. Family volume: $138K.
Price history
38¢ current
−32¢Orderbook snapshot
37 / 38¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump says Iran / Iranian as part of THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University , then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 26, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-IRAN
Event family
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$138K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Draft / Drafted 70¢
Current share
5%
Iran / Iranian
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-IRAN
Event does not qualify
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-NQE
Oval Office
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-OVAL
McDonald / McDonald's
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-MCDO
Heisman
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-HEIS
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-CRYP
Transgender
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-TRAN
Landslide
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-LAND
Executive Order
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-EXEC
Saban
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-SABA
Draft / Drafted
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-DRAF
Olympic / Olympics
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-OLYM
Kickoff
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-KICK
NIL
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-NIL
Ballroom
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-BALL
Election
kalshi · KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11-ELEC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 38% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.