What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call?
Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing September 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 17¢ spread, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 17¢ spread, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical 876.9% implied yield on the Yes side suggests either severe mispricing or genuine uncertainty about whether "Hippo" will be mentioned during Progressive's next earnings call by September 2026. The sharp 14¢ price decline over seven days combined with minimal open interest ($834.76) indicates this is a niche, speculative contract with low conviction from the market.
Resolution rules
If Hippo is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONPGR-26APR15-HIPP yes 100