When will Ramp IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that When will Ramp IPO?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing December 1, 2026. The market is pricing in only a 16% probability of a Ramp IPO by end-2026, but the extreme 3838% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity rather than genuine conviction—confirmed by zero 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread on just $323 open interest.
Analysis
The market is pricing in only a 16% probability of a Ramp IPO by end-2026, but the extreme 3838% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity rather than genuine conviction—confirmed by zero 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread on just $323 open interest. The 24 cliff risk index and 228-day timeframe indicate this is a thin, speculative contract where any modest capital inflow could dramatically move prices, making it more of a liquidity desert than a reliable probability signal.
Resolution rules
If Ramp confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPORAMP-26DEC01 yes 100