Before October 2027 · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360
Before October 2027 is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360.
Price history
90¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If the FDA approves COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression for marketing before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before October 2027
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Before October 2027 82¢
Range
29¢-82¢
Family volume
$77
Identifier
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27OCT01
Sep 17, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360
Closes
Oct 1, 2027
Family volume
$77
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the FDA approves COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression for marketing before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27OCT01
Event family
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$77
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Before October 2027 82¢
Current share
0%
Before October 2027
kalshi · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27OCT01
Before July 2027
kalshi · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27MAR01
Before 2028
kalshi · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-28JAN01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.