When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $296 open interest, making the 22¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 8¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $296 open interest, making the 22¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 8¢ spread. The 469.9% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated—a classic sign of thin markets where small positions can distort probability estimates—while the 235% risk-adjusted yield suggests meaningful uncertainty about whether this reflects true market sentiment. With 440 days to expiry and a modest 16¢ to 15¢ price decline over the past week, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal trading activity rather than an actively discovered price.
Resolution rules
If WHOOP, Inc. confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOWHOOP-27JUL01 yes 100