Will Joey Bosa play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Joey Bosa play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing August 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a massive 97¢ spread and only $4.28 in open interest, suggesting minimal trader interest in a Joey Bosa-to-Dallas outcome at the 49¢ midpoint.

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49¢
Bid/Ask 1/96¢·Spread 95¢·Vol $0·OI $5.495·Closes Aug 31, 2026·124d remaining
0x1aa9655bdd75fea725ea65947b5617e9dbba9e52245b922b094bdcdabcba0935
7-day price319 snapshots · 7 regime
50¢50¢ current
Apr 843¢Apr 28

Analysis

13d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a massive 97¢ spread and only $4.28 in open interest, suggesting minimal trader interest in a Joey Bosa-to-Dallas outcome at the 49¢ midpoint. The 301% implied yield on the "Yes" side reflects the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity, and with 137 days to resolution, the market has adequate time for information arrival (0.9/h) but lacks the liquidity to validate price discovery. The 252% realized volatility and neutral regime indicate this is a speculative, thinly-traded contract where any small order could move prices significantly.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team Joey Bosa officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Joey Bosa does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 295.2%
IY (No) 295.2%
Adj IY 295%
CRI 1
RV 333%
VR 1.88
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)295.2%
IY (No)295.2%
Adj IY295%
CRI1
RV333%
VR1.88
IAR2.3/h
Overround15.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
95¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:43:19 AM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:38:27 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1aa9655bdd75fea725ea65947b5617e9dbba9e52245b922b094bdcdabcba0935 yes 100

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