U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
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17¢Bid/Ask 13/20¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $25.421·OI $32,352.595·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5
7-day price471 snapshots · 3 regime
18¢17¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:26:37 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5 yes 100