SimpleFunctions

Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Prediction markets currently give a 25% probability that Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?. This contract trades at 25¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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25¢
Bid/Ask 6/43¢·Spread 37¢·Vol $0·OI $109.196·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0x95730425d34f559d27f5c14bc14348018ff19a1659160cf46ccd19e557a2e9d2
7-day price889 snapshots · 12 regime
53¢25¢ current
Apr 87¢May 1
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 8¢+17¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.89IY 1712.9%Close-time delta 15h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 448.0%
IY (No) 49.8%
Adj IY 448%
CRI 3
RV 1481%
VR 12.44
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)448.0%
IY (No)49.8%
Adj IY448%
CRI3
RV1481%
VR12.44
IAR1.6/h
Overround6.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
37¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:45:07 PM
Indicators computed 5/1/2026, 1:38:57 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x95730425d34f559d27f5c14bc14348018ff19a1659160cf46ccd19e557a2e9d2 yes 100

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