Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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65¢
Bid/Ask 46/84¢·Spread 38¢·Vol $0·OI $119.167·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x0d9d760ff17a0e64ff9b67f48893c0b1ae4874cd462ce6c2d38c82e2b9171fda
7-day price440 snapshots · 4 regime
75¢65¢ current
Apr 850¢Apr 29
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 61¢+4¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 23.9%Close-time delta 17559h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 80.2%
IY (No) 276.5%
Adj IY 276%
CRI 2
RV 792%
VR 8.97
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)80.2%
IY (No)276.5%
Adj IY276%
CRI2
RV792%
VR8.97
IAR1.7/h
Overround7.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
38¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:12:42 PM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:08:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0d9d760ff17a0e64ff9b67f48893c0b1ae4874cd462ce6c2d38c82e2b9171fda yes 100

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