Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?. This contract trades at 88¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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88¢
Bid/Ask 82/94¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $1,204.482·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x3edaa2ff2a5ec59e98190860dfa46d2baadb852fb21e1a2bf184eec8d216f76c
7-day price600 snapshots · 4 regime
94¢88¢ current
Apr 849¢Apr 29
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 87¢+1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 5.6%Close-time delta 17559h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 20.3%
IY (No) 1091.8%
Adj IY 943%
CRI 7
RV 2816%
VR 42.34
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)20.3%
IY (No)1091.8%
Adj IY943%
CRI7
RV2816%
VR42.34
IAR4.3/h
Overround7.9%
LAS0.14

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:12:42 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:08:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3edaa2ff2a5ec59e98190860dfa46d2baadb852fb21e1a2bf184eec8d216f76c yes 100

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