Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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65¢
Bid/Ask 52/78¢·Spread 26¢·Vol $0·OI $128.4·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0xb824d3ee954d657e75d8f28b478c52a1b9c740ffa62620fc68c41b89f0942bc4
7-day price1772 snapshots · 5 regime
66¢65¢ current
Apr 835¢Apr 29
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 67¢-2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 18.4%Close-time delta 17559h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 121.8%
IY (No) 182.0%
Adj IY 30%
CRI 1
RV 3938%
VR 36.54
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)121.8%
IY (No)182.0%
Adj IY30%
CRI1
RV3938%
VR36.54
IAR4.7/h
Overround7.9%
LAS0.84

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
26¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:13:11 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:08:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb824d3ee954d657e75d8f28b478c52a1b9c740ffa62620fc68c41b89f0942bc4 yes 100

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