Who will be picked third in the Pro Basketball Draft?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Who will be picked third in the Pro Basketball Draft?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing July 14, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $33 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $33 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The astronomical 7831% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing—Kingston Flemings being picked third overall carries far higher than 5% probability given typical draft positioning uncertainty, though the 19 Cliff Risk Index warns of potential resolution complications. With 89 days to expiry and a wide 5¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative micro-market where the quoted price may not reflect true consensus odds.
Resolution rules
If Kingston Flemings is selected as the third overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-3-KFLE yes 100