Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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15¢
Bid/Ask 1/29¢·Spread 28¢·Vol $0·OI $186.607·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x162b72f5d7afe8e4c6e2cc18f58e334aa45e7a4e0b775e57f09d7c0aa95eac7c
7-day price378 snapshots · 3 regime
17¢15¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 817.0%
IY (No) 25.4%
Adj IY 409%
CRI 6
Overround 7.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)817.0%
IY (No)25.4%
Adj IY409%
CRI6
Overround7.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
28¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:22 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x162b72f5d7afe8e4c6e2cc18f58e334aa45e7a4e0b775e57f09d7c0aa95eac7c yes 100

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