Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 1/20¢·Spread 19¢·Vol $0·OI $93.99·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x684c63557f46fa18da30d43362d04630ed183b9d8c68c68b71727f72bd7f3616
7-day price1815 snapshots · 4 regime
49¢11¢ current
Apr 811¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1168.4%
IY (No) 17.8%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 8
Overround 3.6%
LAS 1.73
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1168.4%
IY (No)17.8%
Adj IY0%
CRI8
Overround3.6%
LAS1.73

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
19¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:05:17 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x684c63557f46fa18da30d43362d04630ed183b9d8c68c68b71727f72bd7f3616 yes 100

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