What is the current probability for "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 4¢ (4% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 30, 2026. 69 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 12612.8% and 21.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will win Jack Adams Award?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will win Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.

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4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $5·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining

KXNHLADAMS-26-PROY

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 12,132.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of micro-cap mispricing rather than genuine edge, especially given Patrick Roy's actual coaching status and Jack Adams Award eligibility would need verification. The 72-day timeframe to expiry and high cliff risk index (24) suggest this is a speculative micro-market where the quoted price may not reflect true probability.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Patrick Roy wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12612.8%

IY (No) 21.9%

Adj IY 6306%

CRI 24

Overround 0.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	12612.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	21.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6306%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 3:23:12 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-PROY yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →