SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will a protest within the United States that draws a combined estimated attendance of at least 250,000 people across all locations be confirmed?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXMAJORPROTEST-26MAY

Price history

24¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 24¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
20¢29
19¢155
18¢262
17¢57
16¢100
AskSize
24¢187
25¢200
65¢61
66¢146
67¢557

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If a protest within the United States that draws a combined estimated attendance of at least 250,000 people across all locations is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMAJORPROTEST-26MAY

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will a protest within the United States that draws a combined estimated attendance of at least 250,000 people across all locations be confirmed 24¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5109.0%
319.3%
Adj IY
2044%
4
LAS
0.20

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