Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 10 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
39%
10 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
10 contracts
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
498 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 10 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 7% of their title tokens — “Will the margin of victory” vs “Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will the margin of victory
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Republicans, 1+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P1
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Democrats, 1+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P1
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Democrats, 3+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Democrats, 5+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P5
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?: Democrats, 7+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P7
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Democrats, 13+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P13
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Republicans, 3+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?: Democrats, 11+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P11
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 9 percentage points?: Democrats, 9+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P9
Cluster 2
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?: 5+ wins in a row
KXWINSTREAKMANU-27-5
Analysis
This 39% probability represents the likelihood that Inter Kashi FC will defeat North East United FC in their upcoming match. The probability reflects moderate confidence in a competitive fixture, likely influenced by recent team form, head-to-head history, and current league standings. The market shows relatively low trading volume across contracts, suggesting limited activity among traders pricing this event. The actual match result will provide definitive resolution, though the specific date isn't indicated in available data. Factors like injuries to key players, home-field advantage, and momentum from recent games typically drive expectations in soccer matches. The concentration of contracts around North Carolina election outcomes in the top volume list indicates potential market data misalignment or cross-listing issues unrelated to this soccer fixture.
- ›Recent performance records of both Inter Kashi FC and North East United FC in their current league season
- ›Head-to-head historical match results and goal differential between these two teams
- ›Current league standings and points differential that reflect relative team strength
- ›Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international competition
- ›Home versus away fixture designation and historical performance patterns for each team at their respective venues
What moved the line
- Jun 19Democrats, 9+ pts↓7pp42→35¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Democrats, 11+ pts↓6pp36→30¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Democrats, 7+ pts↓6pp49→43¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Democrats, 5+ pts↓6pp65→59¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Democrats, 13+ pts↓4pp28→24¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primarylast 97% · 4d
- Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winnerlast 89% · 5d
- Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winnerlast 64% · 5d
- Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?: ↑$180Blast 94% · 5d
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikeslast 97% · 5d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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